The escalation between the Houthis and Yemeni government forces has spilled over to energy facilities in southern Saudi Arabia.
Fighting across Yemen intensified on Monday as clashes between government forces and the Iran-aligned Houthi movement spread across several major fronts, while an attack on energy facilities in southern Saudi Arabia threatened to draw Riyadh more directly into a conflict it has spent years trying to contain.
The escalation, involving renewed ground fighting and airstrikes in Yemen alongside reported attacks on Saudi Aramco facilities in Jazan, marks one of the most serious challenges to a fragile period of relative calm since a U.N.-brokered truce in 2022.
The Houthis accused Saudi Arabia of carrying out airstrikes and cruise missile attacks on their positions, including what they said was an attack on a prison in the city of Al-Hazm in Al-Jawf province. Saudi Arabia has not announced that it carried out air or missile strikes in Yemen.
Fighting initially flared in Taiz and along Yemen's western coast before spreading to Hodeidah, Marib, Al-Jawf and Al-Bayda, according to accounts from the warring sides.
The widening conflict comes after years in which the main front lines in Yemen remained relatively stable following the expiration of a six-month U.N.-brokered truce that began in April 2022. Although the agreement was never formally extended, the level of fighting fell sharply compared with the preceding years of war.
Marwan Dammaj, a former Yemeni minister and adviser to the chairman of the Presidential Leadership Council, said the Houthis appeared to be seeking military gains along the western coast that could strengthen both their battlefield position and their leverage in future negotiations.
He also linked their interest in areas near the Bab al-Mandab Strait to the broader regional role of Iran and its Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, and to the Houthis' ability to threaten international shipping and trade through one of the world's most strategically important waterways. Both the Houthis and Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps are designated as terrorist organizations by the United States.
The fighting has also been accompanied by a return of airstrikes to parts of Yemen, an element largely absent from the conflict since the 2022 truce.
Yemeni government forces said in recent days they had struck Houthi positions in Taiz and Hodeidah before carrying out further attacks in Al-Bayda and other areas. The strikes targeted military positions, missile launch platforms, vehicles and Houthi gatherings, according to the government.
Thabit Saleh, a retired Yemeni brigadier general, said he believed some of the recent airstrikes may have been carried out by Saudi aircraft rather than Yemeni forces.
Khalid Batarfi, a Saudi academic, disputed that assessment, citing the absence of an official Saudi announcement and what he described as a lack of conclusive independent evidence identifying the aircraft involved.
Air operations by the Saudi-led coalition against Houthi-held territory largely stopped after the 2022 truce took effect. Since then, Saudi Arabia has shifted its approach toward supporting forces aligned with Yemen's internationally recognized government while seeking to strengthen their military capabilities and consolidate political and military decision-making among anti-Houthi groups.
The renewed airstrikes have yet to produce a decisive shift on the battlefield, Saleh said.
Anti-Houthi forces have recaptured several positions in the Hays district, he said, but there has been no comparable advance on other fronts, particularly in Maqbanah, Al-Kadha and Al-Barah west of Taiz.
The conflict took on a potentially more dangerous dimension on Monday with reports that Saudi Aramco facilities in Jazan, near the Yemeni border, had been targeted in a new attack.
Saudi authorities had not immediately confirmed the incident or its extent.
The reported attack came after previous strikes on the Jazan refinery, a major energy facility that has been targeted repeatedly during the renewed regional tensions. Attacks on Saudi energy infrastructure have heightened concerns that the conflict could threaten not only Yemen's fragile military balance but also the security of one of the world's largest oil producers and major international energy supplies.
For Riyadh, the latest escalation presents a difficult calculation.
Saudi Arabia has spent recent years pursuing a political settlement with the Houthis and avoiding a return to the large-scale military intervention that began in 2015.
But attacks on Saudi territory, particularly against critical energy infrastructure, could force a reassessment of that strategy.
Batarfi, the Saudi academic, said Riyadh's pursuit of a political settlement should be distinguished from its response to direct attacks on Saudi territory and vital economic assets.
Such attacks could make the issue one of national defense and economic security, he said, potentially prompting what he described as a policy of 'selective deterrence' aimed at missile and drone launch sites, weapons depots and other sources of the threat.
Dammaj said Saudi Arabia remained focused on domestic stability and ambitious economic development plans, giving Riyadh a strong incentive to avoid another open-ended war.
But the continued presence of the Houthis as a military threat along Saudi Arabia's southern border could eventually make more direct intervention an option, he said.
The latest confrontation followed months of rising tensions.
Yemen's internationally recognized government said in July that its forces had prevented an Iranian aircraft from landing in Sanaa and alleged that it was carrying members of Iran's Revolutionary Guards and military equipment.
The Houthis subsequently announced what they called a comprehensive maritime blockade targeting shipping and Saudi oil tankers and launched attacks against vessels linked to the kingdom.
Saudi Arabia's calculations now extend beyond the fighting inside Yemen, analysts say, encompassing the security of its territory and energy infrastructure as well as shipping through the Red Sea and the Bab al-Mandab Strait.
Whether the conflict widens further may depend on developments along Yemen's front lines — and on whether attacks against Saudi territory and economic infrastructure cross what Riyadh considers a threshold requiring a stronger military response.
Adapted and translated from the original Arabic.
(0)Comments