Bitcoin is in danger of repeating its failed May breakout, analysis warns as crypto and risk assets fall on renewed Middle East military escalation.
Bitcoin fell with US stocks on the opening of Tuesday's Wall Street trading session as analysis warns that BTC price support at $78,300 must hold.
Bitcoin dipped below $78,000 at Tuesday's Wall Street open as risk assets fell on renewed Middle East tensions. Bitcoin briefly dropped under $78,000 for the first time since Sept. 3, following downside pressure on US equities. WTI crude oil hit three-month highs near $95 per barrel on renewed military strikes in the Middle East.
Bitcoin, stocks fall as Middle East woes spark oil surge Data from TradingView showed BTC/USD dropping as low as $77,600 before a modest rebound, its lowest levels since Sept. 3. News of Houthi strikes on Saudi Arabian cities and oil infrastructure pressured US stocks at the start of the first trading session after the Labor Day holiday. The S&P 500 and tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index were down by 0.5% and 0.4%, respectively, at the time of writing.
Oil prices showed a more pronounced reaction to the events, with WTI crude surging toward $95 per barrel, its highest since June 8. Brent crude targeted the $100 mark for the first time since July 24. Commenting on a concurrent record rise in US diesel prices, trading resource The Kobeissi Letter noted that 'inflation expectations continue to mount as a result.
' AsIn a Truth Social post on Monday, US president Donald Trump downplayed the oil spike, pledging lower prices in the future.
'Oil prices will drop precipitously, like everything else is dropping , when we WIN the war with Iran. Three Dollars a gallon, but ultimately, below Two Dollars a gallon,' heDiscussing current BTC price action, trader and analyst Rekt Capital struck a cautious tone, drawing comparisons to Bitcoin's failed May breakout. At the time, BTC/USD reached $82,800 before reversing, then consolidating at $78,300 and eventually dropping to new macro lows near $57,000.
Should the current zone fail to hold as support, BTC/USD would seal another lower high in a series stretching back to October 2025, keeping its 2026 bear market firmly in place.
'Ultimately, a Weekly Close below $78300 followed by a bearish retest just like in early May would likely confirm a breakdown,' Rekt Capitaland is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice or recommendations. All investments and trades carry risk; readers are encouraged to conduct independent research.
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