Below, bettors can find Premier League odds and a Tottenham vs Everton prediction .
Everton vs Tottenham Prediction
Based on Everton's misleading form to start the season and Tottenham's strong defensive record, my Tottenham vs Everton prediction is the Tottenham Moneyline (-108).
Laying a price with a winless side is slightly scary. However, Everton scares me exactly zero as a road underdog against a team with a strong defense.
David Moyes' side has taken points in each of its first three matches. But in two straight instances, the Toffees rescued a late point with a stoppage-time equalizer.
At Bournemouth, Everton scored in the 91st minute to draw 1-1. Then Ainsley Maitland-Niles scored on the final kick of the game to secure a 2-2 draw against Manchester United.
As home underdogs to United, Everton produced an extremely lucky attacking output. The team managed two goals against only 0.7 post-shot expected goals.
At Bournemouth – albeit a slightly superior side to Tottenham – Everton lost both the xG and post-shot xG battle.
What is encouraging about Tottenham is the lack of chances surrendered. Excluding a Matchday 1 performance without Micky van de Ven, the defense kept opponents at bay.
Newcastle scored twice against Tottenham, but it featured some luck. As a home favorite, Tottenham allowed two goals off 0.7 xG & post-shot xG.
The defense survived a fluky Nottingham Forest handball to escape with a draw. However, Tottenham's defense surrendered zero shots on target outside that occurrence.
Tottenham enters this match better than their record indicates. Roberto de Zerbi's side possesses a -5 goal differential vs. a -2 post-shot xGDiff.
They'll also likely return James Maddison on Saturday to an attack that desperately needs help. Plus, de Zerbi's side bossed Everton last May.
A 1-0 home win saw Tottenham best Everton 1.15-0.4 on xG and 0.8-0.05 on post-shot xG. Given those factors, I predict Tottenham takes all three points on Saturday.
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