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‘America First' may be the great global equaliser and new normal

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When the world's largest issuer of the reserve currency begins using debt-management strategies long associated with frontier markets, it signals a shift that global investors cannot ignore. The line between developed economies and emerging markets is becoming less distinct as fiscal pressures reshape government borrowing. For years, economic vulnerability was viewed largely as a problem for developing countries. Yet the same structural forces that have driven debt management across Africa are now influencing policy inside the US Treasury. The clearest sign came as US national debt surpassed $40 trillion, dwarfing Kenya's public debt of about $100 billion (Sh13 trillion) by more than 400 times. At the same time, rising borrowing costs and a heavy repayment schedule have forced Washington to rethink how it manages its obligations. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has expanded long-term debt buybacks, with the government repurchasing older, long-dated bonds before maturity using existing cash or proceeds from issuing new short-term Treasury bills. The goal is to ease pressure on long-term interest rates and stabilise financial markets. This approach is familiar across Africa. Countries including Côte d'Ivoire, Zambia, Benin and Ghana have used bond buybacks, debt switches and restructuring to smooth repayment schedules and manage refinancing risks. What was often dismissed as a frontier-market survival tactic is increasingly being employed by the world's largest economy. The comparison has limits. Unlike quantitative easing, Treasury buybacks do not involve printing money. The Treasury cannot create dollars; it must finance buybacks from existing cash balances or new borrowing. The broader lesson is that debt management has become a universal challenge, not a sign of economic failure. High interest rates, elevated inflation and growing debt burdens are forcing governments everywhere to manage the cost of capital more actively. For investors, this changing landscape creates opportunity as well as risk. Understanding sovereign debt dynamics, geopolitical tensions and shifting capital flows is becoming essential to building resilient, globally diversified portfolios in an increasingly interconnected financial system.
‘America First' may be the great global equaliser and new normal
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